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CNBC's Inside India newsletter: A disconnected stock market
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
CNBCThis report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. For local investors, Indian stocks would have underperformed the U.S. benchmark by more than 45 percentage points since Buffett's 2008 bet. It appears that India's near 8% GDP growth isn't transforming into stock market returns. But that has also meant significant competition for the incumbents, many of which are listed on the stock market. This year has also been particularly unlucky for Indian stock market investors thanks to the uncertainty added by politics.
Persons: Warren Buffett, it's, Jonathan Pines, Federated Hermes, Rajeev Agrawal, Agrawal, Narendra Modi's, Kevin Carter, Buffett, Carter, Modi, Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Virat Kohli, Rajat Patidar Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC, BSE, Federated, DoorDarshi Advisors, Narendra Modi's BJP, India, Ecommerce, One97 Communications, Ujjivan Financial, BJP, Russia, Indian, Ukraine, India's Central Bureau of Investigation, Indian Premier League, Wednesday, Royal Challengers Bengaluru Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, BSE India, India, United States, Gandhinagar Lok Sabha, Russia, Mumbai, Punjab Kings
Thursday's analyst calls feature upgrades to discount retailers TJX and Burlington and used car outlet Carvana, while there was more bad news for CVS Health following a tough earnings report Wednesday. He also raised his price target to $130 from $70, or 49.2% above Wednesday's close price. He lowered his price target by $25 to $60, or just 5.6% higher from Wednesday's close price. Analyst Jay Sole also lifted his price target to $132 from $104, indicating nearly 41% upside from Wednesday's close. He raised his price target to $212 from $126, suggesting shares could gain 19.1% from where they closed Wednesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Moore, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Tal Liani, Liani, — Hakyung Kim, JPMorgan Carvana, Rajat Gupta, Gupta, Kevin Caliendo, Caliendo, Jay Sole, Sole, BURL, — Hakyung Kim —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, CVS Health, UBS, CVS, JPMorgan, Qualcomm, Wall Street, Samsung, Huawei, Edge, headwinds, " Bank of America, Microsoft, Burlington Discount, TJX Companies, Burlington Stores, Burlington Locations: Burlington, Carvana, CY24, seasonality, optionality, Maxx
Here are JPMorgan's top stock picks heading into April
  + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JPMorgan added two new names to its list of top stocks as April begins — Bank of America and CarMax . However, his price target of $35 implies that shares could fall 8% from their Thursday close. On the other hand, analyst Rajat Gupta views CarMax as a short idea, with his $60 price target suggesting approximately 31% downside from where the stock closed on Thursday. Here are some of the top picks that made JPMorgan's list: Growth stock Danaher is one returning name to the list. Analyst Tami Zakaria's $385 price target corresponds to a further 5% rally from the stock's Thursday close.
Persons: Vivek Juneja, Juneja, Rajat Gupta, CarMax, Rachel Vatnsdal's, Tami Zakaria's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, — Bank of America, Bank of America, of America, " Bank of America, Caterpillar
Carvana over the last 18 months aggressively restructured its operations and debt amid bankruptcy concerns to pivot from growth to cost-cutting. Carvana puts each vehicle it intends to sell through a lengthy inspection, repair and sale preparation process. A Ford F-150 is prepped for a painting booth at Carvana's vehicle reconditing center outside Phoenix. The Wall Street Journal in December 2021 detailed a network of Garcia companies that do business with DriveTime, Carvana or both. Carvana sells such warranties or other service-related protections to customers, and DriveTime takes them over, giving Carvana a commission.
Persons: Michael Wayland, Ernie Garcia III, Ernie Garcia II, Garcia, Carli, Carvana, There's, Richard, Dick, Nixon, there's, Ernie Garcia, pathing, Rajat Gupta, Doug Guan, we've, CNBC Guan, Coldplay, Neil Diamond, Teresa Aragon, DriveTime, Duckling, Garcia II, Charles Keating's Lincoln, hasn't, Organizations: CNBC PHOENIX, CNBC, Ford, Ford Motor, Nissan, State, Charles Keating's Lincoln Savings & Loan, Street Journal, DriveTime Locations: Tempe, Ariz, Tempe , Arizona, Phoenix, Carvana, Florida, reconditioning, Silicon Valley, Aragon, DriveTime, Drivetime
So far this morning there is a big auto stock upgrade and a big beverage downgrade, among other calls. Morgan Stanley dimmed its view on Citizens Financial , downgrading the stock to equal weight from overweight but maintained its $31 per share price target, implying roughly 9% upside. The firm made the chipmaker its top large cap pick on Monday, and reiterated an overweight rating alongside a $620 per share price target. The analyst raised his price target from $25 to $40, which represents 14% upside. "We continue to see ABI's broadly EM focused sales exposure as attractive combined with the company's market leading market share positions," analyst Mitch Collett said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Manan, Brian Evans, Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler's, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Wells, Ike Boruchow, Boruchow, — Brian Evans, JPMorgan's Rajat Gupta, Carvana, John Melloy, Bud Light, Mitch Collett, Vijay Rakesh, Rakesh Organizations: CNBC, East West Bancorp, Citizens Financial, Citizens, West Bancorp, Nvidia, TAM, Wells, JPMorgan Carvan, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank downgrades Anheuser, Busch, Deutsche Bank, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Staples, Beverages, Mizuho Securities Mizuho Securities, General, United Auto Workers, GM, Vehicles, UAW Locations: China, Wells, Friday's, North America, N.A
How an Indian startup hacked the world
  + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +41 min
The Indian company hacked on an industrial scale, stealing data from political leaders, international executives, prominent attorneys and more. Run by a pair of brothers, Rajat and Anuj Khare, the company began as a small Indian educational startup. The Indian company hacked on an industrial scale, stealing data from political leaders, international executives, sports figures and more. Back in 2012, Kristi Rogers was an executive at Aegis, a London-based security company. Canadian security company GardaWorld, which acquired Aegis in 2015, said it had no information on the incident.
Persons: Chuck Randall, Randall, , ” Randall, , Randall’s inbox, Appin, Rajat, Anuj Khare, Rajat Khare’s, Clare Locke, Khare “, Khare, ” Clare Locke, Ted Kaczynski, Anuj, who’ve, SentinelOne, Tom Hegel, Appin “, Hegel, Mandiant, ” Hegel, Shane Huntley, ” Huntley, Google’s Huntley, , Jochi Gómez, Gómez, Halevi, Tamir Mor, Russian oligarch Boris Berezovsky, Mohamed Azmin Ali, ” Mor, Berezovsky, Azmin, Mor, Roman Abramovich, Mark Hastings, Hastings, didn’t, Jim H, ” Jim H, Jim H’s, Kristi Rogers, Mike Rogers, he’s, Global’s, sully, Rogers, Damian Perl, – “, Steven Santarpia, ” Santarpia, Santarpia, Leonel Fernández, ” Fernández, Rajat Khare, “ Let’s, Ministry of Home Affairs didn’t, Peter Hargitay, Stevie, Billing, ” Stevie, , ” Peter Hargitay, Mookhey, Norman Shark, Jonathan Camp, Shark, Camp, Norman, Dominican Republic –, Dan Brady, Sandra Schweingruber, ” Schweingruber, Schweingruber, Brady, ” Gómez, , ” –, Anna Carter, Mark Califano, ” Rajat Khare’s, India’s, Educomp, Karen Hunter, Hunter, Bryan, Rajat’s, Vijay Kumar, Deepak Kumar, Kumar, ACSG, Jay Solomon, Solomon, ” Rebsec’s, Vishavdeep Singh, Rebsec, CyberRoot, Sumit Gupta, Gupta, Raphael Satter, Zeba Siddiqui, Christopher Bing, Ryan McNeill, Corinne Perkins, John Emerson, Marla Dickerson Organizations: Reuters, Google, Harvard University, U.S, Symantec, Appin, Caribbean, El, Israeli Defense Forces, Commando, Quillon Law, U.S . House Intelligence, The Michigan Republican, U.S . Senate, Aegis, Global Security, Security, Rogers, Army Corps of Engineers, Rotary, Aegis ’, Global, ” Reuters, Britain’s, Appin Software Security, Ltd, Appin Security, , Research, Analysis, Intelligence Bureau, Indian, India’s Ministry of Home Affairs, India’s Ministry of Defense, of Home Affairs, Central Bureau of Investigation, CBI, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Ministry of Home Affairs, Telenor, Broadcom, FBI, Dominican, Criminal Investigation Service, Appin Security Group, CERT, country’s, Bureau of Investigation, Educomp, State Bank of India, State Bank, The National Security Agency, NSA, U.S ., Swiss, Appin Technology, India’s Ministry, Corporate Affairs, Control Security Global, Technology, Kumar, Facebook, Meta, BellTroX, Services, Street, New, Rebsec, BellTroX’s, Hire Locations: Long, New Delhi, India, Yorker, Paris, Swiss, cybersecurity, Appin, Dominican, California, , Dominican Republic, El Siglo, United States, Britain, Switzerland, New York, French, New Jersey, Israel, Russian, Malaysian, London, Rwandan, Virginia, Canadian, Chuck@shinnecock.org, Texas, Indian, India’s Punjab, Pakistan, Zurich, Australia, Norway, Oslo, Brady, Former, , U.S, Islip, Shinnecock, Washington, cyberespionage
This was higher than the $1.58 in earnings per share on $1.48 billion in revenue that analysts surveyed by FactSet had been expecting. Chewy — The pet food seller added 4% in premarket trading after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to overweight from equal weight. Chegg's third-quarter earnings came in at 18 cents per share, excluding items, higher than the 17 cents per share expected by analysts polled by LSEG. BP — Shares of the oil company slid 4% after the company missed analysts' estimates for its third-quarter earnings . XPO — The freight transportation company added 1.7% after announcing stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings.
Persons: FactSet, Pinterest, Chewy, Morgan Stanley, Lauren Schenk, Caterpillar, LSEG, Tesla, XPO, Jefferies, AutoNation, Rajat Gupta, Wells, Ferguson, MoffettNathanson, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: Arista Networks, Arista, Revenue, Global, Anheuser, Busch, LSEG, Caterpillar — Investors, JetBlue, BP —, BP, JPMorgan, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
Visa relies on AI for mission-critical tasks like processing payments, detecting fraud, and securing its massive network infrastructure. It has more than 300 AI models that are live and operating. "AI is going to be a huge part of how we grow, but it'll also be part and parcel of everybody's work," Taneja said. Visa continues to experiment with similar AI models, like Meta's AI model Llama 2 and those from French-American company Hugging Face, Taneja said. Visa introduced AI models that ingest billions of data points every day to train on, learn patterns, and identify any cybersecurity or payment-security threats.
Persons: It's, Rajat Taneja, it'll, Taneja, it's, coder, counterfeits Organizations: Visa, Microsoft Locations: American
Men watch a screen displaying the Sensex results on the facade of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, February 1, 2023. REUTERS/Niharika Kulkarni/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary poll dataBENGALURU, Aug 23 (Reuters) - India stocks will trade only modestly higher at year-end, according to a Reuters poll of equity analysts who said a correction was likely before then, citing tightening global financial conditions as a risk. Driven by positive foreign and domestic investment inflows, the benchmark BSE Sensex Index (.BSESN) touched an all-time high of 67,619.2 on July 20, up around 18% from the year's low of 57,084.9 set only four months earlier. Over 70% of analysts who answered an additional question, 21 of 29, said a correction - a decline of 10% or more - in the Indian equity market was likely by year-end, including five who said it was highly likely. (Other stories from the Reuters global stock markets poll package:)Reporting by Devayani Sathyan and Sujith Pai; Polling by Milounee Purohit, Veronica Khongwir and Anant Chandak; Editing by Jonathan Cable and Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Niharika Kulkarni, Rajat Agarwal, Devayani Sathyan, Sujith Pai, Milounee Purohit, Veronica Khongwir, Anant Chandak, Jonathan Cable, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Societe Generale, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Monday's, Asia, U.S
It's time to pull back on Carvana after its shares shot up this year, JPMorgan said. Gupta's $10 price target means he thinks the stock could fall 74.3%. JPMorgan raised its non-GAAP EBITDA and gross revenue per unit expectations for the 2023 through 2025 fiscal years. Last month, JPMorgan said the company should still consider an equity raise to further reduce concerns. The issue with Carvana's story, according to Gupta: Investors are anticipating a stronger return to growth and leverage in 2024 than will actually take place.
Persons: Rajat Gupta, Gupta, Gross, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Gupta Locations: Carvana
New features include giving customers the ability to edit tips after the delivery is complete. The company is also giving its gig workers the choice to earn their pay per hour, instead of by delivery order. Customers can add or increase a tip for drivers on the app up to 30 days after delivery. At DoorDash, consumers won't be able to reduce tips after delivery, the company said. DoorDash is also launching SNAP benefits for online payments for grocery delivery with brands such as Safeway, Albertsons, Meijer, Aldi, and 7-Eleven.
Persons: , Rajat Shroff, DoorDash's, Shroff, Austin Haugen, Uber, Sergio Avedian, DoorDash, Cody Aughney, Aughney Organizations: Service, Consumers, Logistics, Dasher & Logistics, Safeway, Albertsons Locations: DoorDash, Los Angeles, Canada, Australia, Meijer, Aldi
In an often brutal and bleak world, the recent resurgence of Wrexham, the city as well as the soccer club, lifts the soul. The Turf pub is a must-see for Wrexham fans. But now, there’s Wrexham with a story that, in hindsight, feels as if it was just waiting for Hollywood. One of Wrexham city center's shopping areas, pictured on April 22. Wrexham fans celebrate on the pitch after their team beat Boreham Wood at the Racecourse Ground.
This will make it more important for tech workers to be good at collaboration and communication. This is bad news for tech workers who thrived as brilliant solitary jerks. The more AI becomes integrated into a workplace, those experts suggested, the more all workers can work with others to get more creative in solving issues. That doesn't leave a lot of room for the brilliant jerks who struggle to treat their colleagues and customers with respect. He added that AI tools combined with interpersonal and collaboration skills create a more team-based culture in the workplace.
Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading:Walmart — Walmart shares fell about 4% before the bell after sharing a cautious outlook for the year as consumers trade down and purchase fewer discretionary items. Home Depot — The retail stock dropped 4% in premarket trading after Home Depot's fourth-quarter report showed lighter-than-expected sales. Home Depot reported $3.30 in earnings per share on $35.83 billion of revenue. Vir Biotechnology — The immunology company jumped nearly 11% after being upgraded to buy from neutral by Goldman Sachs. HSBC cited strong reported revenue growth and lower reported operating expenses.
It's time to sell AutoNation as consumer demand for vehicles starts to pull back, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Rajat Gupta downgraded AutoNation to underweight from neutral, saying the car dealer stock is starting to look overvalued after its solid performance during the pandemic. AutoNation shares outperformed at the onset of the Covid pandemic. The car dealer stock jumped more than 40% in 2020, and surged more than 60% in 2021. On Friday, following strong fourth-quarter results, AutoNation shares surged to an all-time high and posted its best day in about three years .
So, how did a relatively young and small New York financial research firm manage to bring the Adani juggernaut to a juddering halt? Much of his fortune is tied up in the sprawling Adani Group, which he founded over 30 years ago. This is not the first time analysts have expressed fear that the rapid expansion of Adani businesses comes with huge risk. In its response, Adani Group said that the “leverage ratios” of its companies “continue to be healthy and are in line with the industry benchmarks in the respective sectors. Adani Group “is not going anywhere,” said Rajat Sharma, founder of financial advisory firm Sana Securities.
COLOMBO, Jan 18 (Reuters) - India has told the International Monetary Fund that it strongly supports Sri Lanka's debt restructuring plan as the island nation seeks a $2.9 billion loan from the global lender, according to a letter seen by Reuters. "We hereby confirm our strong support for Sri Lanka's prospective (loan) program and commit to supporting Sri Lanka with financing/debt relief consistent with restoring Sri Lanka's public debt sustainability," Indian finance ministry official Rajat Kumar Mishra told the IMF chief in a letter dated Jan. 16. Sri Lanka owes India around $1 billion that will come under the debt restructuring plan, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters earlier this week. New Delhi separately provided Sri Lanka with about $4 billion in rapid assistance between January and July last year, including credit lines, a currency swap arrangement and deferred import payments. Sri Lanka owed Chinese lenders $7.4 billion - nearly a fifth of its public external debt - by the end of last year, according to calculations by the China Africa Research Initiative (CARI).
JPMorgan is pumping the brakes on shares of CarMax . Analyst Rajat Gupta downgraded the used vehicle stock to underweight from neutral, saying that the risk-reward looks skewed to the downside as the potential for lower earnings revisions linger. He also said recovery hopes look "premature" at the moment. According to Gupta, Wall Street is also failing to accurately account for downside risks to overall earnings. Gupta maintained the Wall Street firm's $60 price target on CarMax, which represents 11% downside from Tuesday's close.
Now, with the fraud charges filed earlier this week against Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the bankrupt FTX exchange, Williams has further solidified his office's growing role in prosecuting financial crimes involving cryptocurrency, according to interviews with a half-dozen former prosecutors. Bankman-Fried, 30, has acknowledged risk management failures at FTX but said he does not believe he has criminal liability. In the wake of Bankman-Fried's arrest, Williams has made clear he would plow on with cryptocurrency enforcement. On Wednesday, he announced wire fraud conspiracy charges against the founders of two separate cryptocurrency mining and trading companies he called Ponzi schemes. On Tuesday, Williams told reporters more charges in the FTX probe were possible.
Ernest Garcia III, CEO of Carvana, speaks to CNBC on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, March 7, 2019. Shares of Carvana plummeted by more than 40% in Wednesday morning trading after the embattled online used car retailer's largest creditors signed a deal binding them to act together in negotiations with the company. Such creditor agreements are viewed as a way to streamline negotiations around new financing or a debt restructuring. JPMorgan said Wednesday that the creditor deal signals that Carvana "may have initiated debt restructuring negotiations with bond holders" but the "possibility of imminent Ch. Carvana's stock has plummeted by about 97% this year after reaching an all-time intraday high of $376.83 per share on Aug. 10, 2021.
Summary poll dataBENGALURU, Nov 30 (Reuters) - India's stock market, which rallied to a record high this week, is forecast to rise another 9% by the end of 2023 despite widespread expectations of a gradual slowdown in the economy, according to market experts polled by Reuters. The benchmark BSE Sensex Index (.BSESN) touched an all-time record high of 62,887.40 on Tuesday, surging more than 23% from this year's low of 50,921.22 hit on June 17. The Sensex was then forecast to rise to 68,000 by end-2023, for a total gain of around 9%. The Nifty 50 (.NSEI), which has also hit a record high, was forecast to gain 4.7% from Tuesday's close of 18,618.05 to 19,500 by mid-2023, and reach 20,500 by end-2023. But by most measures, the Indian market looks overbought.
Why investors have jumped off the Carvana bandwagon
  + stars: | 2022-11-12 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
He touted the company's "landmark" second-quarter results on Aug. 5, 2021 that included the used car retailer's first-ever quarterly net profit. Analyst Adam Jonas cited deterioration in the used car market and a volatile funding environment for the change. Jonas said "a deterioration in the used car market combined with a volatile interest rate/funding environment" made for a "material risk" to the company. Used vehicle prices have so far remained steady, but that may not last long, as the wholesale costs continue to decline. The average used listing price for a used vehicle is stabilizing but remains near record highs of more than $28,200, according to Cox Automotive.
Expect more trouble ahead for Carvana , JPMorgan Chase says. Analyst Rajat Gupta slashed the bank's price target on the used-vehicle seller to $10 from $20 a share, citing the company's mounting net debt and ongoing volume pressures. To be sure, JPMorgan views a downturn scenario where Carvana can ride out the headwinds. But the company's rising net debt and "direction of fundamentals" is not enough to support the current price target, Gupta wrote. JPMorgan's new price target means shares could rally 35% from Monday's close.
Carvana and its investors seem to be getting a hold of the company's troubles, according to JPMorgan. Analyst Rajat Gupta upgraded shares of Carvana to neutral from underweight, saying that investors have a better handle on the risks around the used car seller after its decline this year, and that the company can better manage its liquidity. The analyst maintained his December 2022 price target of $20, which is roughly 48% upside from Monday's closing price of $13.53. Carvana shares down more than 90% this year, and Gupta expects that the retailer is "not out of the woods" yet as it deals with rising interest rates and a poor macro backdrop for used car sales. Still, Carvana will not deal with the same level of write-down risk like some of its peers such as CarMax, he said in the note.
But with interest rates rising, inflation at record highs and recession fears looming, Wall Street is closely watching third-quarter earnings results and guidance for any signs consumer demand might be weakening. Spak said third-quarter earnings "should mostly be fine," with the focus being on company commentary and guidance revisions. DealersCarMax fueled Wall Street's concerns last month after the used car dealer posted one of its biggest earnings misses ever. Citing CarMax's results, J.P. Morgan analyst Rajat Gupta said the sentiment for franchised dealers' third-quarter earnings "is the most negative we have encountered since the pandemic." Other major dealers scheduled to report third-quarter earnings include Group 1 Automotive on Oct. 26, followed by AutoNation , Asbury Automotive Group and Sonic Automotive on Oct. 27.
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